ATLANTIC OCEAN & CARIBBEAN SEA
ABNT20 KNHC 041152
YUCATAN & QUINTANA ROO, MEXICO 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC, CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE AZORES.  HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES EASTWARD
NEAR 10 MPH TOWARD COOLER WATERS.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.


FORECASTER BEVEN